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Uncertainty in the weather forecast for the big days of Holy Week (15/04/2019)

First of all, say that Holy Week is celebrated, approximately, between the end of March and the middle of April every year.

Spring is a season where the atmosphere is more unpredictable, if possible, than at other times of the year.

And if we add that it is expected that the cold air bags in height are close to Spain, this uncertainty becomes more important if possible.

Until last Friday, the weather models showed us two fronts entering Spain: one was doing it today (as it is being), affecting the north, and another would do it between Wednesday and Holy Thursday, affecting the west and north.

The Region of Murcia, therefore, was left out of the rain in this Holy Week.

Today's situation was short-term and therefore "easily" predictable, but the front of Wednesday and Holy Thursday was very far in time.

Since Saturday, models have changed and it is expected that as of Holy Thursday, the cold air bag that will accompany the front that will affect us, will be positioned on the Iberian Peninsula, generating much instability and very unsafe time.

There are some scenarios that contemplate that the bag of cold air is placed in the south of the peninsula for several days and the east wind will blow over the Spanish Mediterranean, causing heavy rains at some points, not yet knowing if this will happen, and if it happens , where will it rain more?

We have assured the good weather until Holy Wednesday, but it seems that the instability will be highlighted between Holy Thursday and Resurrection Sunday.

If the rains will be scattered or general, persistent or transient, if it will rain more or less and if it will rain more one day or another, it is still to be defined.

Civil Protection Totana recommends to keep an eye on the forecast for the next few days and not give accurate information one hundred percent available today.

Source: Protección Civil Totana

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